Company Letterhead
{{company_name}}
{{company_address}}
Phone: {{phone}}
Email: {{email}}
Website: {{website}}
Introduction and Purpose
This 'Critical What If' Checklist is designed to guide both the Buyer and Seller through a comprehensive review of potential risks, challenges, and opportunities that may arise during and after the sale of a business. Its purpose is to facilitate proactive planning, identify critical negotiation points, and ensure that all parties have considered various scenarios to mitigate unforeseen issues and secure a successful transaction.
Financial 'What If' Scenarios
1. What if revenue declines by {{percentage_decline}}% in the {{period}} (e.g., Q3, Q4, post-acquisition)?
2. What if key customer {{customer_name}} ceases doing business with the company due to the sale?
3. What if {{percentage_unexpected_cost}}% unexpected costs arise during the transition (e.g., legal fees, IT integration)?
4. What if the cost of raw materials / key inputs increases by {{percentage_increase}}% post-acquisition?
5. What if there is a significant change in interest rates, impacting financing terms for the buyer?
6. What if {{currency_symbol}}{{amount_debt}} unexpected debt/liabilities are discovered after closing?
Operational 'What If' Scenarios
1. What if {{percentage_key_employees}}% of key employees (e.g., {{employee_role_1}}, {{employee_role_2}}) resign post-acquisition?
2. What if critical supply chain partner {{supplier_name}} terminates their agreement?
3. What if there is a major system failure (e.g., IT, production line) shortly after the sale?
4. What if a significant product defect or service failure emerges post-acquisition, leading to customer dissatisfaction or recalls?
5. What if integration of operations (e.g., IT systems, production processes) takes longer/costs more than anticipated?
Legal & Regulatory 'What If' Scenarios
1. What if a material undisclosed lawsuit or regulatory investigation emerges?
2. What if a critical permit or license (e.g., {{permit_type}}) is revoked or not transferable?
3. What if there are changes in industry-specific regulations that negatively impact the business's profitability or operations?
4. What if intellectual property disputes arise regarding {{IP_asset_name}}?
5. What if existing contracts with customers or vendors contain 'change of control' clauses that trigger adverse outcomes?
Market & Industry 'What If' Scenarios
1. What if a new competitor enters the market, severely impacting market share?
2. What if there is a significant shift in consumer preferences away from the company's core products/services?
3. What if a general economic downturn negatively affects customer spending in {{industry_sector}}?
4. What if a disruptive technology emerges, rendering existing products/services obsolete?
Vendor and Customer 'What If' Scenarios
1. What if a key customer's financial stability deteriorates, leading to non-payment or reduced orders?
2. What if the primary vendor for {{critical_component}} increases prices or experiences supply chain disruptions?
3. What if customer retention rates fall below {{target_percentage}}% post-acquisition?
4. What if the buyer fails to secure favorable terms with existing vendors, leading to increased operational costs?
Mitigation Strategies and Contingency Planning
For each 'What If' scenario identified, consider the following:
- What is the likelihood of this scenario occurring (Low, Medium, High)?
- What is the potential impact if this scenario occurs (Low, Medium, High)?
- What preventative measures can be taken before closing and during the transition period?
- What specific contingency plans will be put in place to address this scenario?
- Who will be responsible for monitoring and responding to this scenario (e.g., {{responsible_party_buyer}}, {{responsible_party_seller}})?
- What are the financial implications of the mitigation or contingency plan?
Action Plan and Follow-up
1. Assign ownership for each 'What If' scenario and its corresponding mitigation/contingency plan.
2. Establish clear timelines for monitoring and review of critical risks.
3. Integrate relevant 'What If' considerations into the definitive purchase agreement (e.g., indemnities, representations, warranties, earn-outs).
4. Schedule a follow-up meeting by {{follow_up_date}} to review the completed checklist and update the action plan.
Signatures
___________________________ ___________________________
Seller Representative Name Buyer Representative Name
Date: {{date}} Date: {{date}}
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